December 10, 2023

Everything about Iran and its nuclear threat seems to have suddenly taken a turn. The IAEA’s upcoming reports, leaked on Wednesday, indicate nuclear violations by Iran and increasing progress in its nuclear program, as well as the release of its proxies such as Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Yemen Houthi. One might expect the world to take strong action against Tehran, especially with the IAEA Board of Directors meeting next week, providing an opportunity to impose global sanctions. However, European diplomats are hesitant to confront Iran due to the recent Operation Swords of Iron and the potential for further instability. The EU’s reluctance to address Iran’s nuclear program in the current circumstances is concerning, given the significant buildup and aggressive actions of Iran’s proxies, including attacks on Israel and US forces. Despite this, Iran seems to have exhausted its options, making it an opportune time to confront the Islamic Republic about its nuclear program. IAEA chief Rafael Grossi has also sounded the nuclear alarm, warning that the world must prevent Iran from becoming like North Korea in terms of nuclear capabilities. The leaked report highlights Iran’s abrupt expulsion of experienced Agency inspectors and its failure to freeze uranium enrichment despite the partial sanctions relief offered a few months ago. The distractions of ongoing national security crises like the Israel-Gaza war may lead to underestimating other potential crises, and it is crucial for Western officials to maintain determination and an unflappable stance when dealing with Iran’s nuclear threat. It is hoped that Mossad is closely monitoring any attempts by Iran to develop nuclear weapons, given the risks involved.